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Red76
217113.0
7144.2
386513.5
Blue50
479111.9
152922.5
46130.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60552040801007650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#12
44.20.7
39.540.2
Auto0.8
Teleop43.4
End0.0
red by 13.5
461
#9
30.80.4
27.727.3
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
3865
#28
13.50.7
10.711.5
Auto0.5
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 9.0
1529
#33
22.50.4
22.722.3
Auto0.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
2171
#29
13.00.7
11.211.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 1.1
4791
#38
11.90.4
7.36.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.2
End0.0