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Red15
317620.3
540225.4
427213.8
Blue86
348716.1
86835.1
13549.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569801502001586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#39
25.42.5
23.821.4
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 24.0
135
#7
49.30.1
52.352.2
Auto1.0
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
3176
#25
20.32.5
22.319.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 14.8
868
#5
35.10.1
28.127.9
Auto0.8
Teleop34.4
End0.0
Third
4272
#36
13.82.5
18.215.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
3487
#34
16.10.1
14.614.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0