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Red77
393614.3
479111.9
448532.6
Blue144
174126.0
540322.6
548420.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3953010015077144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.61.7
25.827.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 6.6
1741
#22
26.04.5
22.026.6
Auto0.7
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
3936
#26
14.31.7
9.911.6
Auto0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 8.2
5403
#17
22.64.5
17.722.2
Auto0.2
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
4791
#38
11.91.7
6.98.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 8.3
5484
#14
20.24.5
13.417.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0