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Red94
217113.0
286730.3
101820.4
Blue164
386513.5
394740.0
86835.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5176010015020094164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2867
#10
30.31.9
27.729.6
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 9.7
40.04.5
34.438.9
Auto0.7
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
1018
#23
20.41.9
17.919.8
Auto0.1
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 14.7
868
#5
35.14.5
31.235.7
Auto0.8
Teleop34.4
End0.0
Third
2171
#29
13.01.9
11.113.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 0.6
3865
#28
13.54.5
9.113.5
Auto0.5
Teleop13.0
End0.0