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Red140
46130.8
393614.3
44741.8
Blue122
448532.6
348716.1
174731.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6863204080100120140140122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#13
41.83.5
32.335.8
Auto0.4
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 9.2
32.62.8
30.233.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
461
#9
30.83.5
26.830.3
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 0.4
1747
#18
31.12.8
22.325.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
3936
#26
14.33.5
10.814.3
Auto0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 1.8
3487
#34
16.12.8
13.316.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0