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Red144
3378.2
19582.7
23372.9
Blue242
62488.3
175688.2
33081.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228257100200300400500144242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
82.71.6
85.483.8
Auto-3.2
Teleop86.0
End0.0
blue by 5.5
624
#11
88.30.3
89.689.3
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
Second
33
#28
78.21.6
80.979.2
Auto5.4
Teleop72.7
End0.0
blue by 10.1
88.20.3
89.689.3
Auto6.2
Teleop82.1
End0.0
Third
233
#16
72.91.6
74.572.9
Auto9.1
Teleop63.8
End0.0
blue by 8.2
330
#22
81.20.3
82.582.2
Auto2.3
Teleop78.9
End0.0