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Red287
118108.0
164074.4
282694.4
Blue226
364185.0
1114105.8
173090.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682800100200400500600287226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
108.00.1
108.9109.0
Auto8.9
Teleop99.0
End0.0
red by 2.1
105.81.4
108.9107.4
Auto7.9
Teleop98.0
End0.0
Second
2826
#19
94.40.1
95.395.5
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
90.11.4
93.191.7
Auto10.1
Teleop80.0
End0.0
Third
1640
#29
74.40.1
75.375.4
Auto2.8
Teleop71.5
End0.0
blue by 10.6
3641
#18
85.01.4
86.485.0
Auto0.2
Teleop84.8
End0.0