The Flying Toasters · Team 3641

3641The Flying Toasters

South Lyon, Michigan, USA

#29 of 2873

Mar 12 – 14, 2015

Chairman's

Rank 26

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 1	4327 1504 3641	3656 1677 5227	52–49	54%	0–12
Qual 13	5448 5194 5675	4237 3641 5623	26–37	58%	26–1
Qual 16	5152 5462 3658	3641 830 5182	42–38	55%	12–30
Qual 25	5204 3641 2834	5161 830 1254	45–33	65%	20–17
Qual 28	4368 4408 5535	5675 3641 5205	34–30	56%	12–11
Qual 35	5501 5610 5205	5532 5173 3641	26–27	51%	14–8
Qual 41	3641 1677 5462	1940 3452 4453	36–50	64%	20–21
Qual 53	4381 3641 5161	5162 1504 4409	46–39	60%	86–56
Qual 58	3875 5501 3641	4381 5204 5205	39–43	53%	67–54
Qual 65	4368 1528 3641	5462 4237 5162	26–36	60%	28–30
Qual 72	4482 3658 5256	1254 3641 5162	42–38	58%	62–74
Qual 75	2834 5532 5182	5194 3641 3452	38–56	68%	62–64
Playoffs
Quarterfinal pool 4	2834 4381 5675	1254 1504 3641	72–47	80%	65–58
Quarterfinal pool 7	3656 3452 5152	1254 1504 3641	67–48	77%	64–91
Semifinal pool 2	1254 1504 3641	3656 3452 5152	50–67	68%	66–68
Semifinal pool 4	1254 1504 3641	4216 1677 5162	50–57	55%	28–89
Semifinal pool 6	1254 1504 3641	2834 4381 5675	49–72	74%	80–103

Mar 26 – 28, 2015

FinalistInnovation in Control

Rank 4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 1	5695 2960 2832	3641 3568 2224	38–44	52%	72–100
Qual 10	3414 1250 313	3641 4680 5531	45–42	59%	18–6
Qual 18	3641 5467 1	2832 3568 216	50–38	66%	126–52
Qual 27	3641 280 4405	313 5066 244	64–48	70%	90–45
Qual 30	5530 5008 27	3641 4390 5641	60–48	67%	74–128
Qual 34	280 5531 5046	288 3641 503	80–72	61%	93–136
Qual 45	5217 503 5150	2960 2048 3641	50–67	60%	36–111
Qual 53	216 3641 2620	4362 5756 4405	65–57	62%	58–30
Qual 58	3641 5114 4362	5641 548 288	88–77	64%	124–12
Qual 67	67 3641 313	2224 1250 4768	104–71	80%	141–36
Qual 70	5066 3641 217	67 5114 51	101–131	74%	149–191
Qual 79	2145 4680 217	3641 5530 244	83–80	58%	82–62
Playoffs
Quarterfinal pool 2	503 3641 5756	1 5114 5150	82–83	54%	131–119
Quarterfinal pool 6	503 3641 5756	4362 2960 5066	84–97	56%	130–131
Semifinal pool 2	548 67 4405	503 3641 5756	139–86	86%	170–144
Semifinal pool 3	5046 280 3414	503 3641 5756	103–89	67%	136–160
Semifinal pool 5	503 3641 5756	1 5114 5150	92–92	55%	137–158
Finals
Final 1	548 67 4405	503 3641 5756	145–95	85%	179–135
Final 2	548 67 4405	503 3641 5756	146–96	86%	159–141

Apr 2 – 4, 2015

FinalistExcellence in Engineering

Rank 4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 5	5144 2832 815	3547 5252 3641	45–79	80%	90–156
Qual 13	3542 3668 3641	3547 1023 5612	89–105	59%	161–220
Qual 19	548 3773 3641	904 3542 217	120–104	70%	138–140
Qual 26	5203 5238 3322	217 1528 3641	54–113	96%	114–176
Qual 33	1189 3641 5498	4810 5017 2612	125–52	98%	158–85
Qual 36	5708 1481 1189	3322 3641 5612	78–98	64%	116–150
Qual 47	5711 2960 5226	904 3641 240	64–117	95%	49–114
Qual 52	815 3641 5066	5708 5784 4395	99–53	93%	97–6
Qual 56	3773 5252 1528	3641 1023 5784	51–151	99%	38–114
Qual 64	3641 4395 5660	217 5263 3668	86–102	61%	100–80
Qual 68	3641 2137 5238	5066 862 2612	128–104	79%	130–41
Qual 78	240 5688 5660	4381 5567 3641	62–116	94%	108–134
Playoffs
Quarterfinal pool 3	3641 1189 5252	5203 904 5498	123–83	90%	138–67
Quarterfinal pool 7	3641 1189 5252	2612 1481 2960	124–93	85%	148–70
Semifinal pool 2	548 1023 4395	3641 1189 5252	172–125	91%	196–162
Semifinal pool 3	217 2137 3773	3641 1189 5252	135–126	66%	103–124
Semifinal pool 5	3641 1189 5252	3322 862 2832	126–102	79%	166–155
Finals
Final 1	548 1023 4395	3641 1189 5252	174–127	92%	142–141
Final 2	548 1023 4395	3641 1189 5252	172–128	91%	236–150

Apr 8 – 11, 2015

Dean's List — Ethan Novilla

Rank 2

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 4	5053 3641 5046	3668 3539 548	127–136	55%	156–196
Qual 26	5674 3688 3770	2054 3656 3641	95–152	95%	110–139
Qual 46	3641 3538 107	2405 5478 245	149–100	91%	127–33
Qual 58	4961 3641 503	830 123 5675	131–68	97%	197–112
Qual 71	5505 3641 5072	5114 1918 5053	124–115	67%	157–190
Qual 98	5524 3641 2137	66 5603 5167	147–127	74%	182–118
Qual 113	85 3641 2767	1023 1 2337	174–185	54%	200–149
Qual 124	3641 33 4003	5048 1502 494	183–131	90%	221–182
Qual 153	2075 280 5710	68 1506 3641	107–162	95%	96–179
Qual 169	4967 217 3098	862 3641 67	154–179	71%	207–215
Qual 178	5260 4216 4391	3641 3604 3618	127–170	86%	68–145
Qual 198	70 1711 226	5517 5562 3641	161–128	84%	206–154
Playoffs
Octofinal pool 8	67 3641 5114	245 3618 3452	168–142	80%	211–160
Octofinal pool 16	67 3641 5114	1025 3602 3322	168–150	72%	201–103
Quarterfinal pool 1	67 3641 5114	66 4967 1502	168–161	62%	116–210
Quarterfinal pool 5	67 3641 5114	27 573 3098	166–147	73%	210–217

Apr 22 – 25, 2015

Rank 7

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 8	4903 3641 5188	5710 118 5027	140–146	52%	182–224
Qual 25	5529 3467 533	4118 3641 133	91–149	96%	124–188
Qual 36	3464 190 3641	3838 1741 195	131–156	73%	156–107
Qual 42	1678 4522 537	3310 4013 3641	169–135	86%	214–150
Qual 53	3539 155 100	932 3641 74	107–137	79%	126–183
Qual 64	2039 3171 3641	4842 5479 3574	151–69	100%	138–96
Qual 81	4471 2158 1720	1983 3641 5526	116–169	96%	103–169
Qual 96	5511 3641 4954	3015 2877 5012	124–103	78%	203–142
Qual 106	269 2339 5495	3641 4501 5418	76–108	74%	89–114
Qual 125	5511 295 3785	4188 25 3641	87–160	96%	39–126
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 1-2	2468 3130 3310	1983 1741 3641	171–199	72%	240–177
Quarterfinal 1-5	1918 3539 3039	1983 1741 3641	162–197	80%	214–187

Jun 19 – 20, 2015

Rank 4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 4	2834 70 3641	503 1918 3547	191–174	70%	162–170
Qual 13	74 3641 2832	4507 51 5090	145–54	100%	84–10
Qual 17	548 3322 1732	33 217 3641	160–202	84%	28–179
Qual 24	1718 4395 245	1918 3641 5695	111–152	84%	24–40
Qual 27	3641 5090 66	217 2834 910	151–127	78%	48–80
Qual 36	3547 3641 240	68 1504 548	155–166	57%	104–178
Qual 39	74 226 66	3641 3604 245	168–175	53%	48–108
Qual 49	4130 1918 3538	3641 2337 5436	132–151	65%	96–100
Qual 57	280 1718 2832	302 548 3641	118–175	92%	97–132
Qual 62	1504 4130 3641	74 910 469	134–136	53%	92–118
Qual 67	494 1528 3641	1718 67 302	139–126	66%	130–92
Playoffs
Quarterfinal pool 1	68 3641 226	548 4130 66	194–192	58%	132–158
Quarterfinal pool 5	68 3641 302	469 217 1528	150–131	73%	136–104
Semifinal pool 2	548 4130 74	68 3641 226	172–194	66%	164–188
Semifinal pool 3	1918 503 3604	68 3641 226	169–194	72%	156–156
Semifinal pool 5	68 3641 226	67 33 910	194–164	81%	165–92
Finals
Final 1	68 3641 226	67 33 910	194–164	81%	176–194
Final 2	68 3641 226	67 33 910	194–164	81%	171–166
Final 3	68 3641 226	67 33 910	194–164	81%	185–129

Jul 16 – 18, 2015

Rank 18

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 9	1619 330 1657	1711 2867 3641	183–160	77%	118–124
Qual 21	1923 1325 2826	3641 1114 379	193–248	90%	196–196
Qual 31	3641 48 111	107 469 548	177–221	78%	154–180
Qual 40	179 3641 384	225 5254 2122	155–222	89%	232–214
Qual 47	1711 744 234	1024 3641 16	158–185	68%	196–207
Qual 67	3641 316 2512	1756 1023 4143	161–232	89%	245–272
Qual 72	624 1218 2614	3015 503 3641	211–169	82%	298–256
Qual 79	2337 2056 4039	3641 226 1218	212–200	64%	324–280
Qual 96	118 245 3641	2590 1741 1720	231–169	94%	277–208
Playoffs
Quarterfinal pool 4	1114 3641 1730	2338 107 2122	277–223	89%	248–324
Quarterfinal pool 8	1114 3641 1730	5254 179 548	275–222	88%	342–236
Semifinal pool 1	118 1640 2826	3641 1114 1730	270–278	53%	287–226