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Red232
17964.6
364185.0
38458.3
Blue214
22573.3
525471.3
212291.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1402370100200300400232214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#18
85.03.6
69.973.4
Auto0.2
Teleop84.8
End0.0
blue by 6.1
2122
#12
91.10.8
89.188.3
Auto-1.5
Teleop92.6
End0.0
Second
179
#8
64.63.6
46.149.6
Auto1.7
Teleop62.9
End0.0
blue by 8.7
225
#37
73.30.8
69.768.9
Auto2.5
Teleop70.9
End0.0
Third
384
#42
58.33.6
44.848.3
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
blue by 13.0
5254
#21
71.30.8
70.970.2
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0