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Red186
233756.6
6871.7
102397.3
Blue246
165741.9
173090.1
118108.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192229050100150250300350186246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#33
97.31.0
89.989.0
Auto9.6
Teleop87.7
End0.0
blue by 10.6
118
#3
108.00.7
102.0102.7
Auto8.9
Teleop99.0
End0.0
Second
68
#30
71.71.0
61.660.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop72.4
End0.0
blue by 18.4
90.10.7
90.491.2
Auto10.1
Teleop80.0
End0.0
Third
2337
#45
56.61.0
53.852.8
Auto3.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0
red by 14.7
1657
#53
41.90.7
38.839.5
Auto-2.7
Teleop44.6
End0.0