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Red170
21757.4
1114105.8
24551.0
Blue166
23372.9
180679.0
251250.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207196100150250300170166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.82.1
111.4109.3
Auto7.9
Teleop98.0
End0.0
red by 26.8
1806
#35
79.01.9
80.078.0
Auto0.2
Teleop78.8
End0.0
Second
217
#39
57.42.1
56.254.0
Auto1.6
Teleop55.8
End0.0
blue by 15.6
233
#16
72.91.9
76.074.1
Auto9.1
Teleop63.8
End0.0
Third
245
#41
51.02.1
45.243.0
Auto0.9
Teleop50.0
End0.0
red by 0.8
2512
#60
50.21.9
48.746.7
Auto7.2
Teleop43.0
End0.0