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Red200
8564.1
364168.6
276754.2
Blue149
102397.2
146.6
233747.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1721880100300400500200149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.61.0
63.564.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop68.9
End0.0
blue by 28.6
97.22.2
97.995.8
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
Second
85
#16
64.11.0
61.762.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
red by 16.6
2337
#50
47.52.2
50.448.2
Auto2.9
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Third
2767
#21
54.21.0
55.656.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop54.8
End0.0
red by 7.6
1
#30
46.62.2
43.941.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop47.3
End0.0