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Red53
10763.9
49447.9
553429.1
Blue94
571034.6
6656.4
50351.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138123501001502005394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#15
63.94.4
64.359.9
Auto9.5
Teleop54.4
End0.0
red by 7.4
66
#25
56.41.8
51.850.0
Auto2.2
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Second
494
#58
47.94.4
46.742.3
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 3.6
503
#46
51.41.8
46.744.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Third
5534
#93
29.14.4
29.825.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.7
End0.0
blue by 5.6
5710
#79
34.61.8
31.229.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.9
End0.0