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Red124
118966.3
205468.9
171839.2
Blue173
213770.1
85744.1
3380.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172170130140150160180190124173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#20
68.92.7
74.872.1
Auto14.1
Teleop54.9
End0.0
blue by 11.7
33
#5
80.60.2
77.277.0
Auto7.3
Teleop73.3
End0.0
Second
1189
#14
66.32.7
60.858.1
Auto1.1
Teleop65.2
End0.0
blue by 3.7
70.10.2
68.167.9
Auto0.3
Teleop69.7
End0.0
Third
1718
#85
39.22.7
41.939.3
Auto2.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 4.9
857
#67
44.10.2
30.930.7
Auto1.1
Teleop43.0
End0.0