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Red158
24545.9
516733.1
28050.2
Blue168
6766.4
191856.4
515539.6
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119157050100200250300158168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#56
50.21.7
46.748.4
Auto0.8
Teleop49.5
End0.0
blue by 16.2
67
#37
66.40.6
71.171.6
Auto6.8
Teleop59.6
End0.0
Second
245
#61
45.91.7
44.346.1
Auto1.0
Teleop44.9
End0.0
blue by 10.5
1918
#45
56.40.6
50.751.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Third
5167
#90
33.11.7
38.540.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
blue by 6.5
5155
#83
39.60.6
35.135.6
Auto-1.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0