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Red152
552423.4
360254.6
550936.6
Blue190
361848.7
7064.3
240543.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106128050150200250300350152190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#17
54.61.9
46.048.0
Auto1.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
blue by 9.7
70
#4
64.33.1
55.258.3
Auto8.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
5509
#71
36.61.9
41.443.4
Auto0.4
Teleop36.2
End0.0
blue by 12.2
3618
#23
48.73.1
38.942.0
Auto2.1
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
5524
#84
23.41.9
25.527.5
Auto0.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 20.0
2405
#62
43.43.1
34.737.7
Auto1.1
Teleop42.3
End0.0