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Red128
507234.0
54883.8
365639.9
Blue129
400352.0
496767.5
547826.5
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391306080100120160180200128129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#3
83.80.7
75.574.8
Auto1.5
Teleop82.3
End0.0
red by 16.3
4967
#13
67.50.4
63.763.4
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Second
3656
#43
39.90.7
35.334.6
Auto0.2
Teleop39.8
End0.0
blue by 12.1
4003
#44
52.00.4
49.048.7
Auto10.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Third
5072
#65
34.00.7
31.931.1
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 7.5
5478
#88
26.50.4
23.623.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0