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Red64
365627.7
345230.3
515211.7
Blue91
125414.6
150419.6
364118.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714402060801001201401606491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.30.1
30.230.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 10.7
1504
#13
19.60.7
18.619.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
27.70.1
27.727.6
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 9.5
3641
#26
18.30.7
17.217.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
5152
#21
11.70.1
11.711.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
1254
#20
14.60.7
13.614.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0