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Red14
550112.4
56105.7
52057.6
Blue8
55326.3
517310.9
364118.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2528050100150200250148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#25
12.41.1
10.89.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 5.9
3641
#26
18.31.7
12.110.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
5205
#36
7.61.1
8.97.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
5173
#32
10.91.7
11.810.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5610
#38
5.71.1
7.05.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5532
#39
6.31.7
4.62.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0