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Red28
43687.5
152812.4
364118.3
Blue30
54627.8
423713.1
516216.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2438060801001201401602830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#26
18.30.1
14.314.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 2.1
5162
#17
16.20.5
16.315.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
1528
#19
12.40.1
6.97.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4237
#24
13.10.5
13.012.6
Auto0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
4368
#34
7.50.1
5.65.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5462
#33
7.80.5
7.77.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0