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Red48
51617.6
525613.1
421619.9
Blue8
440810.8
55326.3
515211.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371806080100488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.9
15.916.8
Auto0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 8.2
5152
#21
11.70.5
10.610.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Second
5256
#10
13.10.6
10.611.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 2.3
4408
#31
10.80.5
9.08.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5161
#30
7.60.6
8.69.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
red by 1.4
5532
#39
6.30.5
2.21.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0