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Red76
524817.2
345230.3
51829.0
Blue70
438138.1
432712.2
567511.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404901001507670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.32.2
24.126.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 7.8
38.11.0
33.434.4
Auto0.3
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
17.21.7
12.714.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 4.9
4327
#35
12.21.0
8.69.6
Auto0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
5182
#29
9.02.0
5.87.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5675
#28
11.01.3
7.28.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0