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Red69
544812.8
52047.4
387523.6
Blue54
194011.6
553512.8
54627.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33270204060806954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.62.4
19.922.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 10.9
5535
#11
12.81.5
9.711.2
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Second
5448
#14
12.82.9
8.411.3
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 1.3
1940
#22
11.61.5
11.813.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
5204
#37
7.42.9
4.77.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5462
#33
7.81.5
7.28.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0