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Red44
423713.1
515211.7
519412.5
Blue66
150419.6
440810.8
517310.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34280204060804466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#24
13.10.6
12.613.2
Auto0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 6.4
1504
#13
19.61.8
15.917.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
5194
#12
12.50.6
11.612.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 1.6
5173
#32
10.92.2
5.37.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5152
#21
11.70.6
10.010.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 0.9
4408
#31
10.82.2
8.510.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0