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Red60
440912.2
544812.8
167723.0
Blue54
52047.4
448215.9
550112.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322404060801006054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.9
18.019.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 7.1
4482
#16
15.91.4
12.313.7
Auto0.9
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
5448
#14
12.81.9
6.58.4
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 0.4
5501
#25
12.41.9
11.012.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
4409
#15
12.21.9
7.59.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 4.7
5204
#37
7.41.9
2.94.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0