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Red161
354225.7
366828.2
364158.3
Blue220
354742.7
102390.0
561215.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85109050150200250300350161220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.33.4
46.950.3
Auto0.4
Teleop58.0
End0.0
blue by 31.7
90.05.6
66.672.2
Auto8.2
Teleop81.9
End0.0
Second
3668
#29
28.23.4
30.433.9
Auto0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0
blue by 14.5
42.75.6
37.543.0
Auto1.1
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Third
25.73.4
14.918.3
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 9.9
5612
#28
15.85.6
4.910.4
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0