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Red48
525215.2
526316.6
566019.2
Blue30
24022.1
52269.4
556715.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32290102040506070804830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#23
19.20.9
9.510.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 2.8
240
#22
22.10.1
12.612.5
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
5263
#32
16.60.9
12.713.5
Auto0.5
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 1.6
5567
#38
15.00.1
11.511.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
5252
#21
15.20.9
8.69.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 5.8
5226
#40
9.40.1
8.18.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0