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Red30
570812.2
501712.5
332236.8
Blue52
261234.1
571123.8
81517.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5958304050703052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#14
36.81.2
33.231.9
Auto0.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 2.7
2612
#17
34.10.1
25.425.3
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Second
5017
#36
12.51.2
11.710.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 11.2
5711
#18
23.80.1
16.516.4
Auto1.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5708
#35
12.21.2
15.714.4
Auto0.6
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 5.2
815
#26
17.40.1
18.017.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0