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Red55
213762.8
578415.3
148121.0
Blue70
568828.8
354742.7
520322.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100650501502005570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.82.2
63.361.1
Auto0.3
Teleop62.5
End0.0
red by 20.2
42.70.1
43.043.2
Auto1.1
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
1481
#13
21.02.2
16.614.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 7.7
5688
#12
28.80.1
16.316.4
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
5784
#37
15.32.2
18.316.2
Auto1.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 7.0
5203
#19
22.40.1
13.814.0
Auto0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0