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Red156
191866.5
50351.6
360457.2
Blue156
6863.4
364176.2
22661.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16319950100150250300156156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#12
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
blue by 9.7
76.20.0
76.276.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop76.4
End0.0
Second
3604
#28
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto1.9
Teleop55.3
End0.0
blue by 6.3
68
#9
63.40.0
63.463.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.0
End0.0
Third
503
#2
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0
blue by 9.7
226
#33
61.20.0
61.261.2
Auto0.1
Teleop61.2
End0.0