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Red174
191866.5
50351.6
360457.2
Blue114
7065.9
283455.4
173231.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17414350100200250174114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#12
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
red by 0.6
70
#15
65.90.0
65.965.9
Auto8.9
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Second
3604
#28
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto1.9
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 1.7
2834
#10
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
Third
503
#2
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0
red by 19.8
1732
#27
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto0.5
Teleop31.2
End0.0