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Red164
54888.8
413043.6
7446.1
Blue188
6863.4
364176.2
22661.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167199050100150250300350164188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#5
88.80.0
88.888.8
Auto1.8
Teleop87.0
End0.0
red by 12.6
76.20.0
76.276.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop76.4
End0.0
Second
74
#18
46.10.0
46.146.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.3
End0.0
blue by 17.4
68
#9
63.40.0
63.463.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.0
End0.0
Third
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 17.6
226
#33
61.20.0
61.261.2
Auto0.1
Teleop61.2
End0.0