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Red211
6766.4
364168.6
511438.8
Blue160
24545.9
361848.7
345253.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17413750100150200250211160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.0
68.768.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 15.5
3452
#33
53.10.0
53.153.1
Auto0.6
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Second
67
#37
66.40.0
66.666.6
Auto6.8
Teleop59.6
End0.0
red by 17.7
3618
#23
48.70.0
48.748.7
Auto2.1
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
5114
#87
38.80.0
39.039.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
blue by 7.1
245
#61
45.90.0
45.945.9
Auto1.0
Teleop44.9
End0.0