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Red232
54883.8
102397.2
171145.9
Blue167
205468.9
8564.1
233747.5
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22616650100150200250300350232167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.20.1
96.596.6
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
red by 28.3
2054
#20
68.90.2
69.268.9
Auto14.1
Teleop54.9
End0.0
Second
548
#3
83.80.1
83.183.2
Auto1.5
Teleop82.3
End0.0
red by 19.7
85
#16
64.10.2
64.364.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
Third
1711
#41
45.90.1
45.245.3
Auto1.4
Teleop44.5
End0.0
blue by 1.7
2337
#50
47.50.2
47.847.5
Auto2.9
Teleop44.6
End0.0