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Red149
50351.4
22663.6
283450.3
Blue191
6656.4
496767.5
150248.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162159100120140180200220240149191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#8
63.60.0
63.663.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop63.9
End0.0
blue by 3.9
4967
#13
67.50.0
65.965.9
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Second
503
#46
51.40.0
51.451.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.7
End0.0
blue by 5.0
66
#25
56.40.0
54.954.9
Auto2.2
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Third
2834
#40
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.3
End0.0
red by 2.3
1502
#42
48.00.0
46.546.5
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0