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Red231
6863.6
213770.1
49447.9
Blue177
10763.9
118966.3
171839.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181161100150200250231177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.0
70.970.9
Auto0.3
Teleop69.7
End0.0
red by 3.7
1189
#14
66.30.0
66.566.5
Auto1.1
Teleop65.2
End0.0
Second
68
#11
63.60.0
64.564.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop64.4
End0.0
blue by 0.2
107
#15
63.90.0
64.064.0
Auto9.5
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Third
494
#58
47.90.0
48.848.8
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 8.7
1718
#85
39.20.0
39.439.4
Auto2.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0