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Red62
448215.9
365819.8
525613.1
Blue74
125414.6
364118.3
516216.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433702060801006274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.9
19.019.9
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 1.6
3641
#26
18.32.1
14.316.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
4482
#16
15.90.9
13.714.6
Auto0.9
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5162
#17
16.22.1
15.817.9
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
5256
#10
13.10.9
11.312.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 1.6
1254
#20
14.62.1
9.611.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0