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Red112
440912.2
345230.3
365627.7
Blue94
283429.3
56105.7
152812.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66260408010012014016011294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.33.1
26.429.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 1.0
29.33.7
23.226.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Second
27.72.5
26.228.7
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 15.3
1528
#19
12.43.7
7.010.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
4409
#15
12.23.1
9.412.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 6.5
5610
#38
5.73.7
2.96.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0