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Red22
432712.2
550112.4
51617.6
Blue27
562310.5
43687.5
52057.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322404060801002227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#25
12.40.6
12.912.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 1.9
5623
#27
10.50.1
11.611.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
Second
4327
#35
12.20.5
9.69.1
Auto0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 4.6
5205
#36
7.60.1
8.88.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
Third
5161
#30
7.60.5
9.38.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
red by 0.1
4368
#34
7.50.1
5.75.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0