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Red136
504640.8
28041.9
341426.5
Blue160
50340.2
364143.2
575618.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10686050150200136160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#5
41.90.5
41.241.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop42.2
End0.0
blue by 1.3
43.21.1
40.041.1
Auto0.3
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
40.80.5
40.140.5
Auto1.6
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 0.5
503
#12
40.21.1
37.038.2
Auto0.2
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Third
3414
#16
26.50.5
25.826.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 8.0
5756
#32
18.51.1
15.316.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0