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Red130
49455.3
152813.1
364176.2
Blue92
171849.2
6765.1
30216.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421235010020025013092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.0
76.276.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop76.4
End0.0
red by 11.1
67
#11
65.10.0
65.165.1
Auto5.3
Teleop59.8
End0.0
Second
494
#8
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto12.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
1718
#20
49.20.0
49.249.2
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
Third
1528
#26
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 3.2
302
#24
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0