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Red126
353951.2
15547.8
10019.9
Blue183
93225.0
364176.2
7446.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100144050200250126183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#43
51.20.7
51.452.2
Auto0.5
Teleop50.8
End0.0
blue by 24.9
76.22.0
74.076.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop76.4
End0.0
Second
155
#45
47.80.7
44.745.5
Auto1.4
Teleop46.3
End0.0
red by 1.7
74
#47
46.12.0
47.449.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Third
100
#69
19.90.7
14.915.6
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 5.2
932
#34
25.02.0
21.123.2
Auto0.2
Teleop24.8
End0.0