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Red183
457528.0
313077.7
450126.6
Blue62
547928.9
313727.8
454122.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13057010015020018362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.73.0
63.466.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
red by 48.8
5479
#65
28.90.4
27.627.1
Auto0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
4575
#60
28.03.0
28.931.9
Auto0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 0.3
3137
#59
27.80.4
27.927.5
Auto0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
4501
#56
26.63.0
30.533.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 3.8
4541
#64
22.80.4
15.014.6
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0