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Red134
287761.6
2540.7
518862.7
Blue148
174146.6
548939.3
317147.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16411150150200250134148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#15
62.71.4
62.761.3
Auto0.3
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 14.9
3171
#33
47.81.2
49.951.1
Auto0.4
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
61.61.4
54.453.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.9
End0.0
red by 15.0
1741
#31
46.61.2
44.545.8
Auto1.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Third
25
#26
40.71.4
44.042.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 1.5
5489
#27
39.31.2
28.830.0
Auto0.6
Teleop38.7
End0.0