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Red214
172056.1
418842.4
331446.8
Blue176
303949.1
54187.7
1678103.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114151050100200250300214176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.14.5
48.052.5
Auto1.0
Teleop55.1
End0.0
blue by 47.3
103.41.2
99.3100.6
Auto12.6
Teleop90.8
End0.0
Second
3314
#21
46.84.5
41.546.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
blue by 2.3
49.11.2
42.844.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Third
4188
#18
42.44.5
34.839.3
Auto0.0
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 34.7
5418
#76
7.71.2
8.910.1
Auto0.0
Teleop7.7
End0.0