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Red111
191866.5
447131.9
276129.5
Blue24
26926.2
54022.0
357445.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112815010015020011124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#22
66.50.0
57.257.2
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
red by 21.3
3574
#28
45.23.2
40.437.1
Auto0.3
Teleop44.9
End0.0
Second
4471
#40
31.90.0
31.831.8
Auto0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 5.7
269
#52
26.23.2
23.920.7
Auto0.8
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
2761
#38
29.50.0
22.322.3
Auto0.4
Teleop29.1
End0.0
red by 7.5
540
#75
22.03.2
24.321.0
Auto0.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0