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Red156
346437.9
19026.1
364176.2
Blue107
383832.5
174146.6
19586.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12516250100200250300156107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.21.0
72.173.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop76.4
End0.0
blue by 10.0
195
#3
86.22.7
83.480.6
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
Second
3464
#32
37.91.0
33.334.4
Auto1.3
Teleop36.6
End0.0
blue by 8.7
1741
#31
46.62.7
48.045.2
Auto1.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Third
190
#49
26.11.0
29.931.0
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 6.4
3838
#30
32.52.7
30.427.6
Auto1.8
Teleop30.6
End0.0