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Red111
353951.2
331446.8
53731.7
Blue187
467861.7
357445.2
346764.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101155050200250111187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#43
51.20.1
50.250.1
Auto0.5
Teleop50.8
End0.0
blue by 12.9
3467
#23
64.21.8
57.058.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.4
End0.0
Second
3314
#21
46.80.1
39.739.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
blue by 14.9
4678
#10
61.71.8
58.059.7
Auto10.0
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Third
537
#41
31.70.1
23.423.3
Auto0.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
blue by 13.5
3574
#28
45.21.8
37.038.7
Auto0.3
Teleop44.9
End0.0