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Red36
52175.0
50340.2
515020.8
Blue111
296036.9
20489.9
364143.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4671010015020025030036111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#12
40.20.5
28.928.4
Auto0.2
Teleop40.0
End0.0
blue by 3.0
43.22.1
31.233.3
Auto0.3
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
5150
#25
20.80.5
14.614.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 16.0
36.92.1
28.130.2
Auto0.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Third
5217
#40
5.00.8
8.27.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 4.9
2048
#33
9.92.1
10.312.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.3
End0.0