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Red18
56415.8
21750.1
3139.4
Blue124
6778.9
575618.5
214525.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669705015020025030018124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#3
50.12.7
48.846.1
Auto0.4
Teleop49.7
End0.0
blue by 28.9
67
#1
78.91.4
67.068.4
Auto10.7
Teleop68.2
End0.0
Second
313
#38
9.42.7
10.98.2
Auto0.6
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 15.6
25.01.4
17.919.3
Auto0.5
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
5641
#39
5.82.7
13.210.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 12.7
5756
#32
18.51.4
11.012.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0